Fed Decision in January?
{name}: cote în timp real
25 bps increase
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $138.3K · Liquidity $95.4K
No change
- Yes67%
- No34%
Volume $107.6K · Liquidity $93.7K
25 bps decrease
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $64.6K · Liquidity $115K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $57.9K · Liquidity $139.1K
50+ bps increase
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $49.7K · Liquidity $121.6K
Reguli de stabilire a rezultatului
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Cum să interpretezi aceste cote
Fiecare preț variază între 0 și 1 dolar și poate fi interpretat ca probabilitatea pe care piața o atribuie unui rezultat: 0,62 dolari înseamnă aproximativ 62%. Prețurile se schimbă cu fiecare tranzacție, așa că reprezintă o estimare colectivă, nu o garanție. Înainte de a tranzacționa, verifică regulile de stabilire a rezultatului de mai sus, volumul tranzacțiilor și lichiditatea și riscă doar bani pe care îți permiți să îi pierzi.
Mai multe piețe despre Economie

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $150.5K · Ends 10 dec. 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 81%
24h vol $1.7M · Ends 29 oct. 2026

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 59%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 27 ian. 2027

China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 95%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 1 feb. 2027

Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%: 39%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 19 ian. 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $32.4K · Ends 1 ian. 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 62%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends 1 ian. 2027

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 16%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1 ian. 2027

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.90%: 54%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 1 ian. 2027

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 35%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 85%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 65%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

