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Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Denver, CO

    • Yes91%
    • No10%

    Volume $10.8K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • San Diego, CA

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $9K · Liquidity —

  • Las Vegas, NV

    • Yes81%
    • No20%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $837.6

  • Sacramento, CA

    • Yes19%
    • No82%

    Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $536

  • Tampa, FL

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity —

  • Boston, MA

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $460.7

  • Philadelphia, PA

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Detroit, MI

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $555.9

  • Portland, OR

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $308.1

  • Minneapolis, MN

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $254.6

  • New York, NY

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $194.2

  • Washington, DC

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $314.6

  • New Orleans, LA

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Seattle, WA

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Pittsburgh, PA

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $5.3K

  • Baltimore, MD

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $557.8

  • Chicago, IL

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • London, UK

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Charlotte, NC

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $769.2 · Liquidity $240.5

  • St. Louis, MO

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $743.4 · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Tokyo, Japan

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $529.4 · Liquidity $4.3K

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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