Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $607K · Liquidity —
September 30, 2026
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $415.6K · Liquidity —
December 31, 2026
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $212K · Liquidity $47.3K
December 31, 2027
- Yes60%
- No41%
Volume $38.9K · Liquidity $3.8K
June 30, 2027
- Yes46%
- No55%
Volume $29.2K · Liquidity $9.9K
February 28, 2027
- Yes24%
- No77%
Volume $11.4K · Liquidity $7.8K
January 31, 2027
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $8K
Regras de resolução
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
Mais mercados de Tecnologia

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 76%
24h vol $59.5K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 91%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes: 94%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 90%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 92%
24h vol $22.3K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 84%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 61%
24h vol $14.3K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2028

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 55%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2028

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture: 31%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2028

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 67%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2028

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 84%
24h vol $21.8K · Ends 1 de jul. de 2027

