Pular para o conteúdo
ThePolyAcademy
PT

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • 45%+

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $59.3K · Liquidity $655.5

  • 50%+

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $37.1K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • 55%+

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $36.6K · Liquidity $611.7

  • 60%+

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $20.3K · Liquidity $990.2

  • 65%+

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $376

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos

Mais mercados de Tecnologia