Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
Rodri
- Yes62%
- No39%
Volume $21.6K · Liquidity $4.3K
Lionel Messi
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $2.6K
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $4.3K
Ousmane Dembélé
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $4K
Michael Olise
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $3.5K
Kylian Mbappé
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $3.1K
Lamine Yamal
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $2.6K
Fabian Ruiz
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $3K
Erling Haaland
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $2.1K
Harry Kane
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $4.3K
Jude Bellingham
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $181.9 · Liquidity $3.2K
Vinícius Júnior
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $97.9 · Liquidity $2.1K
William Saliba
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $90 · Liquidity $2.2K
Pau Cubarsi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $1.3K
Achraf Hakimi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $1.9K
Gabriel Magalhães
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $1.3K
Nuno Mendes
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $2.3K
Bruno Fernandes
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $1.3K
Luis Diaz
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $1.3K
Marc Cucurella
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $1.6K
João Neves
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $2.1K
Sadio Mané
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $85 · Liquidity $1.9K
Marquinhos
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $79 · Liquidity $2.7K
Julián Quiñones
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $59 · Liquidity $2.9K
Lautaro Martinez
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $59 · Liquidity $3K
Dayot Upamecano
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $2.4K
Vitinha
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $2.1K
Willian Pacho
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $2.2K
Declan Rice
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $2.8K
Player M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Ferran Torres
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume — · Liquidity $2.5K
Player F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Player C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Regras de resolução
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
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