Which party will win white voters in the midterms?
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
Republicans
- Yes90%
- No11%
Volume $25.1K · Liquidity $29.2K
Democrats
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $59K
Candidate C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Regras de resolução
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
Mais mercados de Política

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 64%
24h vol $727.8K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 92%
24h vol $319.3K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 64%
24h vol $265.8K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 59%
24h vol $186.5K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 65%
24h vol $143.8K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 94%
24h vol $101.5K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 70%
24h vol $63.2K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D): 78%
24h vol $60.2K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Iowa Senate Election Winner
Ashley Hinson (R): 58%
24h vol $54.1K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola: 75%
24h vol $53.6K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 65%
24h vol $49.4K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 88%
24h vol $47.9K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

