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Next Prime Minister of Spain?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Pedro Sánchez

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $404.7K · Liquidity $196K

  • Alberto Núñez Feijóo

    • Yes81%
    • No20%

    Volume $388.2K · Liquidity $100.2K

  • Santiago Abascal

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $253.7K · Liquidity $108K

  • Isabel Díaz Ayuso

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $227.3K · Liquidity $105.4K

  • Carlos Cuerpo

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $178.7K · Liquidity $126.5K

  • Yolanda Díaz

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $100.4K · Liquidity $140.9K

  • Óscar Puente

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $75.5K · Liquidity $69.8K

  • Miguel Tellado

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $24K · Liquidity $83.8K

  • María Jesús Montero

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $20K · Liquidity $87.4K

  • Carles Puigdemont

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $19.9K · Liquidity $78.2K

  • Ester Muñoz

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $17.4K · Liquidity $88.1K

  • Cuca Gamarra

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $16.9K · Liquidity $79.2K

  • Borja Sémper

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $84.4K

  • Pepa Millán

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $87.2K

  • Ernest Urtasun

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $87.7K

  • Aitor Esteban

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $87.4K

  • Person AH

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AA

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AI

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AQ

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AR

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AG

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AP

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AB

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AC

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AD

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AE

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AF

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AJ

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AK

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AL

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AM

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AN

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person AO

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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