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ThePolyAcademy
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Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems

    • Yes38%
    • No63%

    Volume $102.9K · Liquidity $64.2K

  • Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $25.9K

  • Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $30.8K

  • Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $26.1K

  • Lula, Netanyahu, Dems

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $25.6K

  • Lula, Netanyahu, Reps

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $639.9 · Liquidity $26.2K

  • Lula, Eizenkot, Dems

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $611.9 · Liquidity $8.5K

  • Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $512.2 · Liquidity $28.6K

  • Lula, Bennett, Dems

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $439.7 · Liquidity $24.7K

  • Lula, Eizenkot, Reps

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $403.8 · Liquidity $25.6K

  • Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $356.7 · Liquidity $8.6K

  • Lula, Bennett, Reps

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $303.9 · Liquidity $26K

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AB

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AC

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate AA

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regras de resolução

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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