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What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • $419K - $423K

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $437.2

  • $415K - $419K

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $357.3

  • $407K - $411K

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $354.6

  • $403K - $407K

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $237.8

  • <$403K

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $654.3

  • $411K - $415K

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $132.9

  • $423K+

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $390 · Liquidity $155.2

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see:

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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