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Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Kenya

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $19.3K · Liquidity —

  • Republic of the Congo

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • United States

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • South Sudan

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Nigeria

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • China

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $4.4K

  • Rwanda

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $450.2

  • Canada

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Uganda

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity —

  • India

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $868.3 · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Ethiopia

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $584.8 · Liquidity $760.7

  • Somalia

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $539.1 · Liquidity $127

  • Burundi

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $312.8 · Liquidity $74.1

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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