Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
Josh Hawley
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $44K · Liquidity $14.8K
Mark Warner
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $37.5K · Liquidity $10.2K
Mike Lee
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $32.7K · Liquidity $6.7K
Ruben Gallego
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $28K · Liquidity $6.9K
Jacky Rosen
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $26.2K · Liquidity $13.6K
Thom Tillis
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $25.7K · Liquidity $2.6K
Rand Paul
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $24K · Liquidity $9K
Alex Padilla
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $17.2K · Liquidity $6.3K
Jerry Moran
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $15.2K · Liquidity $7.7K
John Fetterman
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $12.9K · Liquidity $9.6K
Catherine Cortez Masto
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $4.9K
Kirsten Gillibrand
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $9.2K
Lisa Blunt Rochester
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $12.7K
Andy Kim
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $7.9K
Raphael Warnock
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $8.3K
Regras de resolução
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate ( and Library of Congress (
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
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