What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
{name}: odds i sanntid
≥ 4.5%
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $11.2K
4.0%
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $12.5K
3.75%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $539.8K · Liquidity $11.4K
4.25%
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $512.3K · Liquidity $28.6K
3.0%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $501.1K · Liquidity $45.8K
2.0%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $270.4K · Liquidity $40.1K
≤1.0%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $260.4K · Liquidity $21.1K
3.5%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $208.1K · Liquidity $42.6K
2.5%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $181.3K · Liquidity $34.2K
1.75%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $154.7K · Liquidity $39.7K
1.25
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $154.6K · Liquidity $36.4K
1.5%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $152.2K · Liquidity $35.7K
2.25%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $94.5K · Liquidity $31K
3.25%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $87.6K · Liquidity $48.5K
2.75%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $70.7K · Liquidity $49.4K
Regler for avgjørelse av utfallet
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (
Slik tolker du disse oddsene
Hver pris ligger mellom 0 og 1 dollar og kan tolkes som sannsynligheten markedet tillegger et utfall: 0,62 dollar tilsvarer omtrent 62 %. Prisene endrer seg med hver handel, så de gjenspeiler markedsdeltakernes samlede anslag, ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du sjekke reglene for avgjørelse av utfallet ovenfor, handelsvolumet og likviditeten. Ikke risiker mer penger enn du har råd til å tape.
Flere markeder om Politikk

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
24h vol $377.5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 67%
24h vol $199.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $18.9K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 72%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
December 31: 78%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Steve Witkoff: 43%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $70.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends 31. des. 2026

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31: 53%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends 31. des. 2026

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 78%
24h vol $14K · Ends 4. nov. 2026

