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ThePolyAcademy
NO

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

{name}: odds i sanntid

  • December 31, 2026

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $96.7K

  • September 30, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $392.4K · Liquidity —

  • October 31, 2026

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $145.6K · Liquidity $53K

  • November 30, 2026

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $12.5K · Liquidity $50.8K

  • December 31, 2027

    • Yes46%
    • No55%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $34.3K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes34%
    • No67%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $36.3K

  • March 31, 2027

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $20.4K

Regler for avgjørelse av utfallet

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Hver pris ligger mellom 0 og 1 dollar og kan tolkes som sannsynligheten markedet tillegger et utfall: 0,62 dollar tilsvarer omtrent 62 %. Prisene endrer seg med hver handel, så de gjenspeiler markedsdeltakernes samlede anslag, ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du sjekke reglene for avgjørelse av utfallet ovenfor, handelsvolumet og likviditeten. Ikke risiker mer penger enn du har råd til å tape.

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