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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

{name}: odds i sanntid

  • Anduril

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $54.3K · Liquidity $772.5

  • Rigetti

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $27.8K · Liquidity —

  • TSMC

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $370.3

  • Nvidia

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $17.8K · Liquidity $767.3

  • OpenAI

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $12.2K · Liquidity $310.6

  • Boeing

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $12K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Samsung Electronics

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $406.4

  • GlobalFoundries

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity —

  • Anthropic

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $712

  • Pfizer

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • TikTok US / Bytedance

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $255

  • D-Wave

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity —

  • IonQ

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Palantir

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Eli Lilly

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $326.2

  • Lockheed Martin

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $785.6

  • Freeport-McMoRan

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $713.3

  • Micron

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $881.6

  • Unusual Machines

    • Yes65%
    • No36%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $145.1

  • SpaceX

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $256.2 · Liquidity $433.6

Regler for avgjørelse av utfallet

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Slik tolker du disse oddsene

Hver pris ligger mellom 0 og 1 dollar og kan tolkes som sannsynligheten markedet tillegger et utfall: 0,62 dollar tilsvarer omtrent 62 %. Prisene endrer seg med hver handel, så de gjenspeiler markedsdeltakernes samlede anslag, ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du sjekke reglene for avgjørelse av utfallet ovenfor, handelsvolumet og likviditeten. Ikke risiker mer penger enn du har råd til å tape.

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