Fed Decision in October?
{name}: odds i sanntid
No change
- Yes81%
- No20%
Volume $8.9M · Liquidity $501.5K
25 bps increase
- Yes20%
- No81%
Volume $7.7M · Liquidity $588.6K
25 bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $6.6M · Liquidity $362.6K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6M · Liquidity $1.1M
50+ bps increase
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.5M · Liquidity $496.6K
Regler for avgjørelse av utfallet
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Slik tolker du disse oddsene
Hver pris ligger mellom 0 og 1 dollar og kan tolkes som sannsynligheten markedet tillegger et utfall: 0,62 dollar tilsvarer omtrent 62 %. Prisene endrer seg med hver handel, så de gjenspeiler markedsdeltakernes samlede anslag, ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du sjekke reglene for avgjørelse av utfallet ovenfor, handelsvolumet og likviditeten. Ikke risiker mer penger enn du har råd til å tape.
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25 bps increase: 76%
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US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 64%
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Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 88%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 28. okt. 2026

Central Bank of Chile decision in October
No change: 93%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 27. okt. 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 64%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 68%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 76%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
4.89%: 74%
24h vol $1K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.73%: 48%
24h vol $902.7 · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 24. okt. 2026

