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Iran leadership change by...?

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  • December 31

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $5.1M · Liquidity $163.9K

  • April 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5M · Liquidity —

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.4M · Liquidity —

  • May 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.4M · Liquidity —

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.2M · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —

  • August 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —

  • July 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —

  • October 31

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $584.6K · Liquidity $93K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes22%
    • No79%

    Volume $367K · Liquidity $74.7K

  • November 30

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $156.7K · Liquidity $124.1K

  • August 22

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $79.5K · Liquidity —

  • August 15

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $61.8K · Liquidity —

  • March 13

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume — · Liquidity —

Peraturan penyelesaian

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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