Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $74.1M · Liquidity $522.4K
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Pasaule”

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $130.2K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 9%
24h vol $68.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 33%
24h vol $41.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland: 13%
24h vol $35K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $32.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Netanyahu out by...?
No: 62%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
No: 95%
24h vol $16.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $14K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 76%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin Salman: 80%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

