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ThePolyAcademy
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Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

{name}: aktuālās varbūtības

  • Reservists and New Economic Party

    • Yes49%
    • No52%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Amcha Yisrael

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $6.9K · Liquidity $734

  • RZP-Zehut

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $17.2K

  • Blue & White

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $17.9K

  • Ra'am

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $17.8K

Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (

Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības

Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.

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