Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
Anthropic
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $3K
Microsoft
- Yes33%
- No68%
Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $2.4K
Perplexity
- Yes16%
- No85%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $1.9K
Amazon
- Yes13%
- No88%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $2.9K
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user and carries out tasks, such as sending email and booking travel ( This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company launches a Muse-like personal agent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Muse-like personal agent is an AI agent that runs on a cloud computer provided by the listed company that is dedicated to the individual user and remains assigned to that user between tasks, can begin tasks on its own, such as on a schedule or when a new email arrives, and can take actions on websites or in the user's connected accounts, such as sending email or submitting forms. Computing environments created for each task or session will not qualify. Products limited to a single type of task, such as coding, software development, email, or travel booking, offered only through an API, or sold only to businesses will not qualify. A Muse-like personal agent must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Tehnoloģijas”

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 84%
24h vol $50.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 62%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 14%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 31%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
OpenAI: 79%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 18%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 86%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 77%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 35%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 19%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 64%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 81%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

