Tehnoloģijas Prediction Markets
Mākslīgais intelekts, produktu palaišanas un tehnoloģiju gigantu sasniegumi.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $124.9K · Ends 2029. g. 1. janv.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $104.8K · Ends 2029. g. 1. janv.

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30: 98%
24h vol $69K · Ends 2026. g. 1. dec.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $67.5K · Ends 2029. g. 1. janv.

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 22%
24h vol $58.1K · Ends 2030. g. 1. janv.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $55.6K · Ends 2029. g. 1. janv.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
24h vol $54.7K · Ends 2029. g. 1. janv.

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 84%
24h vol $50.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 69%
24h vol $36.1K · Ends 2026. g. 31. okt.

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $22.5K · Ends 2029. g. 1. janv.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google: 43%
24h vol $20.9K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 62%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 96%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 2029. g. 1. janv.

Gemini Argon released by...?
November 30: 94%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 2026. g. 1. dec.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 14%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Gemini Argon released on...?
October 13: 39%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 31%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 19%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 55%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends 2028. g. 1. janv.

Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 23%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends 2030. g. 1. janv.

OpenAI resumes training on...?
Not resumed by October 20: 81%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 2026. g. 21. okt.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 90%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 90%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
OpenAI: 79%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 18%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 86%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 68%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 2026. g. 31. okt.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 89%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 77%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 35%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 58%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 2027. g. 1. apr.

3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 88%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 2026. g. 20. nov.

AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 19%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 59%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 2028. g. 1. janv.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 90%
24h vol $2K · Ends 2027. g. 30. jūn.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 66%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 2028. g. 1. janv.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 2026. g. 31. okt.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Other: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 2026. g. 31. okt.

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 64%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 81%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 82%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 76%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

