Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
DeepSeek
- Yes19%
- No82%
Volume $38.3K · Liquidity $16.4K
ByteDance
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $36.1K · Liquidity $23.3K
Xiaomi
- Yes21%
- No80%
Volume $31.9K · Liquidity $20.5K
Moonshot AI
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $19.8K · Liquidity $18.4K
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition. Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify. An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense ( (a.k.a. Department of War,
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Tehnoloģijas”

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 90%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 85%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)
No: 99%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 89%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+: 98%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends 2027. g. 30. jūn.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
50%+: 94%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends 2027. g. 30. jūn.

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 79%
24h vol $37.4K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 81%
24h vol $16.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1500+: 45%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes: 90%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
Company B: 50%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+: 90%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

