Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
No Next Chancellor before 2028
- Yes51%
- No50%
Volume $88.7K · Liquidity $39.8K
Hendrik Wüst
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $29.6K
Markus Söder
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $17.8K
Boris Pistorius
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $18K
Alice Weidel
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $18.7K
Lars Klingbeil
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $15.2K
Felix Banaszak
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $15.2K
Carsten Linnemann
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $14.8K
Heidi Reichinnek
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $873.9 · Liquidity $11.8K
Sahra Wagenknecht
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $783.8 · Liquidity $11.7K
Katharina Dröge
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $728.3 · Liquidity $11.6K
Tino Chrupalla
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $652.7 · Liquidity $11.7K
Jens Spahn
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $528.6 · Liquidity $11.6K
Person AD
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Politika”
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Luca Niculescu: 95%
24h vol $68.9K · Ends 2028. g. 1. janv.
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 82%
24h vol $14.3K · Ends 2028. g. 1. apr.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 48%
24h vol $285.8K · Ends 2027. g. 19. apr.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance: 21%
24h vol $200.6K · Ends 2028. g. 8. nov.
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
24h vol $139.6K · Ends 2028. g. 8. nov.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 17%
24h vol $118.5K · Ends 2028. g. 8. nov.
Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $34.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 62%
24h vol $17.1K · Ends 2026. g. 29. nov.
Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner
Zoran Janković: 64%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends 2026. g. 16. nov.
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 63%
24h vol $415.2K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 90%
24h vol $365.9K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 65%
24h vol $181K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.