Pāriet uz saturu
ThePolyAcademy
LV

Iran leadership change by...?

{name}: aktuālās varbūtības

  • December 31

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $5.1M · Liquidity $158K

  • April 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5M · Liquidity —

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.4M · Liquidity —

  • May 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.4M · Liquidity —

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.2M · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —

  • August 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —

  • July 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —

  • October 31

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $577K · Liquidity $92.4K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes22%
    • No79%

    Volume $367K · Liquidity $70.2K

  • November 30

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $156.5K · Liquidity $123.2K

  • August 22

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $79.5K · Liquidity —

  • August 15

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $61.8K · Liquidity —

  • March 13

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume — · Liquidity —

Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības

Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.

Varbūtību kalkulatori · Terminu vārdnīca · Bezmaksas kursi

Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Politika”