IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $193.3K · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $106.3K · Liquidity $23.3K
October 31
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $102.1K · Liquidity $21.7K
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $60.1K · Liquidity $0
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Politika”

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 56%
24h vol $180.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
24h vol $60.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $59.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 16%
24h vol $42.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31: 6%
24h vol $21.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Jared Kushner: 35%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
24h vol $109.4K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 95%
24h vol $22.5K · Ends 2026. g. 1. dec.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $58.4K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 95%
24h vol $45.1K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 88%
24h vol $37K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 67%
24h vol $32.3K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

