Houthis enter Aden by...?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
October 31
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $222.1K · Liquidity $32.4K
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $180.3K · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes24%
- No77%
Volume $108.6K · Liquidity $24.5K
November 30
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $7K · Liquidity $17.6K
October 15
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $16.1K
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of Aden, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Aden" refers to the following districts of Aden Governorate, Yemen: Craiter (Sirah), At Tawahi, Al Mualla, Khur Maksar, Ash Shaikh Outhman, Dar Sad, and Al Mansura. Al Buraiqeh district (Little Aden) is excluded and entry into Al Buraiqeh alone will not qualify. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Aden, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Aden is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Politika”

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 67%
24h vol $278.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $157.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 86%
24h vol $102.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 22%
24h vol $36.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31: 42%
24h vol $31.9K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $22.2K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $20.3K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 43%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 69%
24h vol $17.5K · Ends 2026. g. 30. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 52%
24h vol $193.3K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 89%
24h vol $185K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 55%
24h vol $140.5K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

