Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
290K-305K
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $23.3K
275K-290K
- Yes26%
- No75%
Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $13K
320K+
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $15.3K
305K-320K
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $13.2K
260K-275K
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $3.5K
<230K
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $14.6K
230K-245K
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $842.9 · Liquidity $14.8K
245K-260K
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $766.1 · Liquidity $14.9K
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Politika”

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 91%
24h vol $425.5K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 63%
24h vol $388.8K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 92%
24h vol $262.5K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 87%
24h vol $233.4K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 62%
24h vol $145.6K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 65%
24h vol $86.1K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 58%
24h vol $74.2K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R): 83%
24h vol $63.8K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D): 63%
24h vol $60.6K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 66%
24h vol $53.3K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 70%
24h vol $33.7K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Chris Pappas (D): 89%
24h vol $31.7K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

