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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

{name}: aktuālās varbūtības

  • François Hollande

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $39.6K · Liquidity $22.2K

  • Sarah Knafo

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $38.8K · Liquidity $11.1K

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $35.1K · Liquidity $16.5K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $32.5K · Liquidity $13K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $25.1K · Liquidity $18.6K

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $24.3K · Liquidity $25.9K

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes83%
    • No18%

    Volume $23.4K · Liquidity $7.4K

  • Laurent Wauquiez

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $21.6K · Liquidity $12.5K

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $21.5K · Liquidity $22.1K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $20.5K · Liquidity $12.6K

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $19.8K · Liquidity $280

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $17.9K · Liquidity $32.2K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $17.7K · Liquidity $14.2K

  • François Asselineau

    • Yes24%
    • No77%

    Volume $15.2K · Liquidity $10.7K

  • Matthieu Pigasse

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $14.5K · Liquidity $13.9K

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes32%
    • No69%

    Volume $13.3K · Liquidity $26.4K

  • Bernard Cazeneuve

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $12.8K · Liquidity $11.3K

  • Teddy Riner

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $12.4K · Liquidity $11.4K

  • Karim Bouamrane

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $11.3K · Liquidity $12.9K

  • Michel-Edouard Leclerc

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $11.1K · Liquidity $11.7K

  • Bally Bagayoko

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $10K · Liquidity $12.3K

  • Juan Branco

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $9.4K · Liquidity $12.7K

  • Jérôme Guedj

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $8.3K · Liquidity $11K

  • Nathalie Arthaud

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $11.5K

  • Xavier Bertrand

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $12.6K

  • Gérald Darmanin

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $12.1K

  • Olivier Faure

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $6K · Liquidity $12.9K

  • François Bayrou

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $11.5K

  • Sébastien Lecornu

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $14.4K

  • Carole Delga

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $12K

  • Fabien Roussel

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $953.8

  • Manuel Bompard

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $12K

  • Philippe de Villiers

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $11.4K

  • Ségolène Royal

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $14.1K

  • Jean Castex

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $12.7K

  • Jean-Michel Fauvergue

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $11.2K

  • Mathilde Panot

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $12.5K

  • Michel Barnier

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $12.5K

  • Delphine Batho

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $11K

  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $180.6

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $10.8K

  • Élisabeth Borne

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $11.3K

  • Clémentine Autain

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $11.1K

  • Yaël Braun-Pivet

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $11.9K

  • Valérie Pécresse

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $11.9K

  • Manuel Valls

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $11.5K

Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības

Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.

Varbūtību kalkulatori · Terminu vārdnīca · Bezmaksas kursi

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