Ekonomika Prediction Markets
Procentu likmes, inflācija, nodarbinātības dati un makroekonomikas notikumi.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 63%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $64: 85%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 2026. g. 16. okt.
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.0 - 2.5M: 33%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $2.00: 58%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 2026. g. 16. okt.
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 57%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 2028. g. 1. janv.
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends 2026. g. 10. dec.
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 52%
24h vol $4K · Ends 2026. g. 15. okt.
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 54%
24h vol $4K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.
Central Bank of Chile decision in October
No change: 93%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 2026. g. 27. okt.
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99%: 60%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 2027. g. 9. janv.
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 88%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 2026. g. 28. okt.
Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q3?
770M: 100%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 2026. g. 22. okt.
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 2027. g. 27. janv.
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 84%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. febr.
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 53%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 2028. g. 29. janv.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.35%: 63%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 75%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 2027. g. 21. janv.
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 47%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2026. g. 15. okt.
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 73%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. febr.
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 2026. g. 6. nov.
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 57%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 2026. g. 15. okt.
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 2027. g. 11. janv.
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 93%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 69%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 2026. g. 24. okt.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 60%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.0% to 0.2%: 26%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 2026. g. 2. dec.
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 75%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 69%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 55%
24h vol $1K · Ends 2026. g. 9. dec.
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
4.86%: 77%
24h vol $1K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 49%
24h vol $979.8 · Ends 2026. g. 18. dec.
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 14%
24h vol $969 · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.