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ThePolyAcademy
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Fed rate cut by...?

{name}: aktuālās varbūtības

  • June Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $785K · Liquidity —

  • September 2026 Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $645.1K · Liquidity —

  • January Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $588.1K · Liquidity —

  • July Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $579.1K · Liquidity —

  • April Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $543K · Liquidity —

  • December 2026 Meeting

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $407.2K · Liquidity $59.1K

  • October 2026 Meeting

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $214.8K · Liquidity $90.4K

  • January 2027 Meeting

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $28.5K

  • March 2027 Meeting

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $12K

  • July 2027 Meeting

    • Yes54%
    • No47%

    Volume $114.9 · Liquidity $6.2K

  • April 2027 Meeting

    • Yes33%
    • No68%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $6.8K

  • June 2027 Meeting

    • Yes37%
    • No64%

    Volume $27.3 · Liquidity $4.9K

  • March Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume — · Liquidity —

Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve ( however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības

Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.

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