Fed Decision in December?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
25 bps increase
- Yes76%
- No25%
Volume $775.8K · Liquidity $113.8K
No change
- Yes23%
- No78%
Volume $679.9K · Liquidity $184.7K
25 bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $601.2K · Liquidity $131.2K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $560.2K · Liquidity $103.2K
50+ bps increase
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $419.5K · Liquidity $125.3K
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Ekonomika”

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 80%
24h vol $977.8K · Ends 2026. g. 29. okt.

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 64%
24h vol $43.8K · Ends 2027. g. 28. janv.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $14.5K · Ends 2026. g. 10. dec.

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 73%
24h vol $26.7K · Ends 2026. g. 10. dec.

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 62%
24h vol $15.8K · Ends 2026. g. 9. dec.

Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $1K · Ends 2026. g. 9. dec.

Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $875.3 · Ends 2026. g. 18. dec.

US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 76%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $31.3K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

