How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
5.50%
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $1.4K
5.40%
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $641.7
4.90%
- Yes54%
- No47%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $300.9
5.10%
- Yes41%
- No60%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $179.2
5.30%
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $667.3
5.20%
- Yes54%
- No47%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $106.7
5.65%
- Yes4%
- No97%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.3K
5.00%
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $158.5
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see:
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Ekonomika”

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $17.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 55%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 16%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 37%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 64%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 85%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 14%
24h vol $949 · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $21.7K · Ends 2026. g. 10. dec.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 2026. g. 10. dec.

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 61%
24h vol $13.3K · Ends 2026. g. 9. dec.

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 51%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 2027. g. 27. janv.

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 65%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends 2027. g. 28. janv.

