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ThePolyAcademy
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Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?

{name}: aktuālās varbūtības

  • 140-164

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • 40-64

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • 90-114

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $347.3 · Liquidity $2.6K

  • <40

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $195.9 · Liquidity $3.3K

  • 240+

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $122.7 · Liquidity $5.9K

  • 65-89

    • Yes30%
    • No71%

    Volume $68.4 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 165-189

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $45 · Liquidity $5.2K

  • 115-139

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $34.3 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • 215-239

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $22.7 · Liquidity $5.7K

  • 190-214

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $22.7 · Liquidity $6.9K

Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības

Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.

Varbūtību kalkulatori · Terminu vārdnīca · Bezmaksas kursi

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