Iran leadership change by...?
{name}: quote in tempo reale
December 31
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $5.1M · Liquidity $164.3K
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity —
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.4M · Liquidity —
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.4M · Liquidity —
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.2M · Liquidity —
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $583.5K · Liquidity $90.8K
June 30, 2027
- Yes22%
- No79%
Volume $367K · Liquidity $75.8K
November 30
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $156.5K · Liquidity $124.1K
August 22
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $79.5K · Liquidity —
August 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $61.8K · Liquidity —
March 13
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Regole per la determinazione dell'esito
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Come leggere queste quote
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.
Altri mercati su Politica

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24h vol $463.2K · Ends 1 gen 2027

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24h vol $316.3K · Ends 1 gen 2027

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24h vol $69.1K · Ends 1 gen 2027

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24h vol $44.6K · Ends 1 gen 2027

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24h vol $27.1K · Ends 1 gen 2027

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24h vol $23.9K · Ends 1 gen 2027

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December 31: 23%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends 1 gen 2027

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Steve Witkoff: 42%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends 1 gen 2027

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December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends 31 dic 2026

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No Meeting by December 31: 50%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends 31 dic 2026

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November 30: 57%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends 30 nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 89%
24h vol $603.6K · Ends 4 nov 2026

