Closest Senate Race?
{name}: quote in tempo reale
Kansas
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $30.2K
South Carolina
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $25.2K
Texas
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $15.8K
Iowa
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $14.7K
Arkansas
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $16.6K
Maine
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $24.6K
Minnesota
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $2.6K
Alaska
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $25.1K
Mississippi
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $895.8 · Liquidity $3.1K
Florida (Special)
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $767.8 · Liquidity $25.6K
Nebraska
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $760.3 · Liquidity $26.3K
Idaho
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $653.8 · Liquidity $2.8K
Michigan
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $562.3 · Liquidity $14.1K
Ohio (Special)
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $523.5 · Liquidity $29.4K
South Dakota
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $419.9 · Liquidity $23.3K
Louisiana
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $269.1 · Liquidity $24.7K
Kentucky
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $239.1 · Liquidity $13.6K
North Carolina
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $24.6K
Delaware
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.1K
Illinois
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.1K
Montana
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $24.6K
Oklahoma
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K
Colorado
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.1K
New Mexico
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.1K
Rhode Island
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $21.3K
Tennessee
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K
New Jersey
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K
West Virginia
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22K
New Hampshire
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $24.7K
Alabama
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $23.1K
Oregon
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K
Georgia
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.3K
Massachusetts
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K
Virginia
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $223 · Liquidity $23K
Wyoming
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $219.1 · Liquidity $21.2K
State K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
State L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
State M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
State N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
State O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Regole per la determinazione dell'esito
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Come leggere queste quote
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.
Altri mercati su Politica

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 89%
24h vol $422.7K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 62%
24h vol $269.3K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 52%
24h vol $161.1K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 91%
24h vol $150.6K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 55%
24h vol $132.5K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 65%
24h vol $105.2K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 62%
24h vol $71.1K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 64%
24h vol $49.1K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 59%
24h vol $44.4K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola: 74%
24h vol $23.4K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 84%
24h vol $23.2K · Ends 4 nov 2026

Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 71%
24h vol $21.9K · Ends 4 nov 2026

