Economia Prediction Markets
Tassi di interesse, inflazione, dati sul lavoro ed eventi macro.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.

Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.2%: 50%
24h vol $7.2K · Ends 15 ott 2026

What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in October 2026?
↓ $175: 90%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends 1 nov 2026

US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 31 dic 2026

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 80%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 21 gen 2027

September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 50%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends 15 ott 2026

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 1 gen 2027

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
280M: 88%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 12 nov 2026

USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 48%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends 1 nov 2026

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 27 gen 2027

USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 26%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 31 dic 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 13 feb 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 57%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 1 nov 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 33%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 3 nov 2026

Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $2K · Ends 29 gen 2028

2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%: 31%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 mag 2027

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 53%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 28 ott 2026

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 11 gen 2027

China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 feb 2027

October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 6 nov 2026

US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 73%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 1 feb 2027

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 76%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 5 nov 2026

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 43%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 15 ott 2026

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 70%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1 gen 2027

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1 nov 2026

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 69%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 24 ott 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 85%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 28 ott 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $1K · Ends 9 dic 2026

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 72%
24h vol $999.1 · Ends 1 nov 2026

Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 89%
24h vol $919.5 · Ends 5 nov 2026

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.70%: 52%
24h vol $889.9 · Ends 1 nov 2026

Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $875.3 · Ends 18 dic 2026

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 73%
24h vol $853 · Ends 21 ott 2026

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+: 96%
24h vol $835.9 · Ends 1 nov 2026

