Fed rate cut by...?
{name}: quote in tempo reale
June Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $785K · Liquidity —
September 2026 Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $645.1K · Liquidity —
January Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $588.1K · Liquidity —
July Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $579.1K · Liquidity —
April Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $543K · Liquidity —
December 2026 Meeting
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $407.2K · Liquidity $59.1K
October 2026 Meeting
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $214.8K · Liquidity $90.4K
January 2027 Meeting
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $28.5K
March 2027 Meeting
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $12K
July 2027 Meeting
- Yes54%
- No47%
Volume $114.9 · Liquidity $6.2K
April 2027 Meeting
- Yes33%
- No68%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $6.8K
June 2027 Meeting
- Yes37%
- No64%
Volume $27.3 · Liquidity $4.9K
March Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Regole per la determinazione dell'esito
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve ( however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Come leggere queste quote
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.
Altri mercati su Economia

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 28 gen 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $26.6K · Ends 1 gen 2027

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 16%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1 gen 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 62%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1 gen 2027

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $33.2K · Ends 10 dic 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends 10 dic 2026

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 63%
24h vol $19.6K · Ends 10 dic 2026

Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 4 dic 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 54%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 nov 2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 68%
24h vol $667.3 · Ends 1 nov 2026

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 30 ott 2026

