Fed Decision in January?
{name}: quote in tempo reale
25 bps increase
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $102.4K · Liquidity $72.6K
No change
- Yes63%
- No38%
Volume $87K · Liquidity $79.3K
25 bps decrease
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $55.1K · Liquidity $86K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $42.2K · Liquidity $107.7K
50+ bps increase
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $39.2K · Liquidity $92.7K
Regole per la determinazione dell'esito
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Come leggere queste quote
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.
Altri mercati su Economia

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $46.7K · Ends 10 dic 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 83%
24h vol $433K · Ends 29 ott 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 1 feb 2027

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 74%
24h vol $5K · Ends 21 gen 2027

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 13 feb 2027

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 11 gen 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $23.8K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 75%
24h vol $770.5 · Ends 1 gen 2027

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 78%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 31 dic 2026

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 18 dic 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 78%
24h vol $13.8K · Ends 10 dic 2026

