Cultura Prediction Markets
Premi, spettacolo e momenti di cultura pop.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
340-359: 59%
24h vol $493.3K · Ends 13 ott 2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 3%
24h vol $270K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?
40-64: 94%
24h vol $191.8K · Ends 12 ott 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
220-239: 23%
24h vol $89.4K · Ends 16 ott 2026

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 67%
24h vol $58.1K · Ends 1 ago 2027

# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
55M+: 58%
24h vol $32.1K · Ends 18 ott 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
240-259: 15%
24h vol $16K · Ends 20 ott 2026

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 94%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 66%
24h vol $14.8K · Ends 1 apr 2027

Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 33%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?
40-64: 47%
24h vol $11K · Ends 14 ott 2026

Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $11K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026
Lawrence Katz: 37%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends 13 ott 2026

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
Transgender: 97%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends 12 ott 2026

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 85%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends 1 nov 2026

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 65%
24h vol $9K · Ends 2 mar 2027

# of views of MrBeast gaming video on day 2?
31M+: 99%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 13 ott 2026

"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
<25m: 68%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 18 ott 2026

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Barack Obama: 97%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 31 ott 2026

GTA VI released by...?
November 30: 96%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends 1 dic 2026

#2 Spotify Artist in October?
The Weeknd: 70%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends 8 gen 2027

"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m: 66%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 18 ott 2026

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 82%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Top Spotify Song 2026
End of Beginning – Djo: 78%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends 1 feb 2027

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 2?
270-280M: 46%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 18 ott 2026

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 1 lug 2027

"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?
90+: 96%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 31 dic 2026

"The Social Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
40+: 100%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 12 ott 2026

Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 57%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1 feb 2027

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 58%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1 apr 2027

"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m+: 62%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 18 ott 2026

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No: 98%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 1 mar 2027

GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 20 nov 2026

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
Placeholder a - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 1 lug 2027

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $2K · Ends 1 nov 2026

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
Iran: 94%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 19 ott 2026

Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 56%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 1 apr 2027

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 24
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore: 96%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 21 ott 2026

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 59%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 feb 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
John Malkovich: 93%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 15 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball: 75%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 lug 2027

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 62%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 feb 2027

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 13)
Animals: 98%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 13 ott 2026

