Svijet Prediction Markets
Geopolitika i globalni događaji.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Svaka se cijena kreće od 0 do 1 USD i može se tumačiti kao vjerojatnost koju tržište pripisuje određenom ishodu: 0,62 USD znači otprilike 62 %. Cijene se mijenjaju sa svakom transakcijom, pa predstavljaju zajedničku procjenu sudionika, a ne jamstvo. Prije trgovanja provjerite gore navedena pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda, obujam trgovanja i likvidnost te riskirajte samo novac koji si možete priuštiti izgubiti.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 42%
24h vol $617.3K · Ends 19. tra 2027.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $464.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 46%
24h vol $271K · Ends 28. lis 2026.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $246.1K · Ends 26. lis 2026.
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 26%
24h vol $141.5K · Ends 3. sij 2027.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $127.7K · Ends 31. pro 2026.
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%: 51%
24h vol $119K · Ends 26. lis 2026.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
24h vol $67.4K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $65K · Ends 1. srp 2027.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $51.2K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $45.2K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $35.5K · Ends 31. pro 2026.
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $32.2K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $31.4K · Ends 1. stu 2026.
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $28.8K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $24.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $22.1K · Ends 1. srp 2027.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 78%
24h vol $20.7K · Ends 4. stu 2026.
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 22%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 77%
24h vol $15.4K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends 1. sij 2028.
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No: 73%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 97%
24h vol $11.6K · Ends 1. stu 2026.
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 36%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends 26. lis 2026.
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends 20. lis 2026.
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends 31. pro 2026.
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person L: 50%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1. ožu 2027.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 35%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Other: 50%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends 1. ožu 2027.
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 80%
24h vol $7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 1. sij 2028.
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 86%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 30. stu 2026.
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes: 61%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
No: 97%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends 26. lis 2026.
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person J: 50%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1. ožu 2027.
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 67%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends 20. lis 2026.
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 82%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 18. tra 2027.
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Yashar: 56%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 30. lip 2027.
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 60%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1. sij 2027.