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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

{name}: izgledi uživo

  • Google

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $46.3K · Liquidity —

  • OpenAI

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $39.5K · Liquidity $3K

  • DeepSeek

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $24.3K · Liquidity $10.8K

  • Meta

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $19.6K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Moonshot

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $15.1K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Mistral

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $12.9K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • xAI

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $10.8K · Liquidity $4.2K

  • Amazon

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $8.3K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Z.ai

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $8K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Meituan

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • Alibaba

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $12K

  • Microsoft

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • ByteDance

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $2K

  • Baidu

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $12.8K

  • Anthropic

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $101.3

Pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard ( by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Kako tumačiti ove izglede

Svaka se cijena kreće od 0 do 1 USD i može se tumačiti kao vjerojatnost koju tržište pripisuje određenom ishodu: 0,62 USD znači otprilike 62 %. Cijene se mijenjaju sa svakom transakcijom, pa predstavljaju zajedničku procjenu sudionika, a ne jamstvo. Prije trgovanja provjerite gore navedena pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda, obujam trgovanja i likvidnost te riskirajte samo novac koji si možete priuštiti izgubiti.

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