Next Gemini Argon released by...?
{name}: izgledi uživo
January 31
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $658
December 31
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $712.4 · Liquidity $1.8K
Pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Argon model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Argon" and be a new Gemini Argon model release designated as newer than Gemini 4 Argon (gemini-4-argon, released October 13, 2026), regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors, including decimal version increases, new whole-number generations, or newer dated builds. For example, a newer Argon model named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Argon, including a decimal increase such as a 4.1 or a new whole-number generation such as a Gemini 5 Argon, or a newer Argon release under a new, distinct model identifier, would qualify, while Gemini 4 Argon itself, including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, price change, or thinking-level setting of it, and models whose name does not include "Argon," such as Gemini Pro, Gemini Flash, or Gemini Flash-Lite models, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kako tumačiti ove izglede
Svaka se cijena kreće od 0 do 1 USD i može se tumačiti kao vjerojatnost koju tržište pripisuje određenom ishodu: 0,62 USD znači otprilike 62 %. Cijene se mijenjaju sa svakom transakcijom, pa predstavljaju zajedničku procjenu sudionika, a ne jamstvo. Prije trgovanja provjerite gore navedena pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda, obujam trgovanja i likvidnost te riskirajte samo novac koji si možete priuštiti izgubiti.
Više tržišta: Tehnologija

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 16%
24h vol $29.5K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 83%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Denver, CO: 91%
24h vol $9K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Anthropic: 28%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$5.50-$6.00: 19%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 78%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$7.00+: 71%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1490+: 33%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+: 24%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+: 49%
24h vol $2K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 98%
24h vol $60.1K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 92%
24h vol $16.2K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

