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Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026

{name} : cotes en direct

  • Ariel Pakes

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $17.4K · Liquidity $1K

  • Susan Athey

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $14.3K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Partha Dasgupta

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $747.7

  • Richard Blundell

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Javier Milei

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Lawrence Katz

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $102.4

  • Luigi Zingales

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $686.3

  • Robert Barro

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Andreu Mas-Colell

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $820.9

  • Matthew Rabin

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $274.3

  • David Autor

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $275

  • Michael Woodford

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $520.7

  • Sidney Winter

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $340

  • Demian Reidel

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $610.2

  • Ernst Fehr

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Hal Varian

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Victor Chernozhukov

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $914.3 · Liquidity $248.3

Règles de résolution

The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. The Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Comment interpréter ces cotes

Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.

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