Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $607K · Liquidity —
September 30, 2026
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $415.6K · Liquidity —
December 31, 2026
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $212K · Liquidity $37.8K
December 31, 2027
- Yes60%
- No41%
Volume $38.9K · Liquidity $3.9K
June 30, 2027
- Yes46%
- No55%
Volume $29.2K · Liquidity $9.6K
February 28, 2027
- Yes24%
- No77%
Volume $11.4K · Liquidity $7.6K
January 31, 2027
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $7.2K
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
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