California Governor Election: Turnout
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
12.5M-13M
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $26.8K
13M-13.5M
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $27.2K
10.5M-11M
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $14.9K
13.5M-14M
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $13K
<10.5M
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $14.7K
11M-11.5M
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $14.1K
12M-12.5M
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $912.3 · Liquidity $12.7K
14M-14.5M
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $882.5 · Liquidity $13.7K
14.5M+
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $853.2 · Liquidity $12.6K
11.5M-12M
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $719.5 · Liquidity $12.9K
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
Lisää Politiikka-markkinoita

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 63%
24h vol $279.4K · Ends 4.11.2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 91%
24h vol $104K · Ends 4.11.2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 65%
24h vol $99.4K · Ends 4.11.2026

California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra: 96%
24h vol $67.9K · Ends 4.11.2026

Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 63%
24h vol $50.7K · Ends 4.11.2026

Nevada Governor Election Winner
Aaron Ford (D): 57%
24h vol $35.4K · Ends 4.11.2026

Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 69%
24h vol $33K · Ends 4.11.2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 96%
24h vol $27.4K · Ends 4.11.2026

TX-06 House Election Winner
Jake Ellzey (R): 99%
24h vol $27.3K · Ends 4.11.2026

KS-04 House Election Winner
Ron Estes (R): 95%
24h vol $21.9K · Ends 4.11.2026

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 59%
24h vol $21.8K · Ends 4.11.2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 65%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends 4.11.2026

