Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
Flavio Bolsonaro
- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $11K
Lula
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $8.8K · Liquidity $18.1K
Candidate C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g.,
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
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