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Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • 60%+

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $52.3K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 55%+

    • Yes81%
    • No20%

    Volume $38K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 65%+

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $20.5K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • 50%+

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $17.3K · Liquidity —

  • 70%+

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $6K · Liquidity $3.3K

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

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