Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
50%+
- Yes39%
- No62%
Volume $33.9K · Liquidity $1.9K
45%+
- Yes77%
- No23%
Volume $33.3K · Liquidity $1.2K
55%+
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $15.3K · Liquidity $723.7
60%+
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $12.8K · Liquidity $1.1K
65%+
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $971.8
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Tehnoloogia

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 14%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 31%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
OpenAI: 79%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 18%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 86%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 35%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 64%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 81%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 76%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 31. dets 2026

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 90%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 31. dets 2026

