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Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $120.6K · Liquidity —

  • April 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $78K · Liquidity —

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $73.5K · Liquidity —

  • August 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $48.1K · Liquidity —

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $45.2K · Liquidity —

  • December 31

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $38.6K · Liquidity $30.2K

  • February 28

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $37.9K · Liquidity —

  • May 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $12.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 31

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $7.3K · Liquidity $1K

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map ( by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances Shading under the following layers will not qualify: - Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas - Claimed Russian Territory Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Building Location: Building Location in Bilytske: Bilytske Location: Location on Google Maps: The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap ( may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

Tõenäosuskalkulaatorid · Sõnastik · Tasuta kursused