Paris curfew announced by...?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
October 24
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $26.2K
October 31
- Yes9%
- No92%
Volume $7.7K · Liquidity $25.6K
October 21
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $36.8K
October 19
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $18.9K
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a curfew is officially announced in any part of the City of Paris, France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Paris, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A qualifying curfew may be citywide or limited to specific arrondissements or neighborhoods of Paris, and must be officially declared by the City of Paris, the Paris Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police), or a French national authority. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not qualify. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not qualify unless they also impose a curfew as defined above. Any qualifying curfew which is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris local time will count regardless of if or when it goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Poliitika

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
November 15: 3%
24h vol $63.8K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Macron out by...?
No: 96%
24h vol $25K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 48%
24h vol $790.7K · Ends 19. apr 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $80.9K · Ends 1. nov 2026

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $30K · Ends 1. nov 2026

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
Ursula von der Leyen: 97%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends 1. nov 2026

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 22: 96%
24h vol $844K · Ends 31. okt 2026

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
October 21: 98%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends 31. okt 2026

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
Person C: 50%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends 31. okt 2026

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47: 40%
24h vol $16K · Ends 3. nov 2026

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 63%
24h vol $245.8K · Ends 4. nov 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 91%
24h vol $100.8K · Ends 4. nov 2026

