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ET

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • No Next Minister by Feb 28

    • Yes55%
    • No46%

    Volume $40K · Liquidity $26.4K

  • Matan Kahana

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11.8K · Liquidity $12K

  • Ofer Winter

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $15.8K

  • Yoram Cohen

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $9.3K · Liquidity $27.1K

  • Talya Lankri

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $27K

  • Itamar Ben Gvir

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $17.4K

  • Elazar Stern

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $14.2K

  • Bezalel Smotrich

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $5.9K

  • Avi Dichter

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $12.1K

  • Gideon Sa’ar

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $11.9K

  • Yair Golan

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $22K

  • Amir Ohana

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $12.2K

  • Yossi Cohen

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $12.1K

  • Eli Cohen

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $20.6K

  • Yoav Segalovich

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $906.7 · Liquidity $6.1K

  • Yoaz Hendel

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $826.8 · Liquidity $20.4K

  • Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $603.9 · Liquidity $20.6K

  • Ram Ben-Barak

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $569.8 · Liquidity $22.1K

  • Meirav Ben-Ari

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $527.8 · Liquidity $22K

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of National Security in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of National Security will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of National Security” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of National Security are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of National Security assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

Tõenäosuskalkulaatorid · Sõnastik · Tasuta kursused

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